COVID-19 and Stock Market Liquidity: An Analysis of Emerging and Developed Markets

Authors

  • Godfrey Marozva
  • Margaret Rutendo Magwedere

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47743/saeb-2021-0010

Keywords:

COVID-19, liquidity, illiquidity, volatility, stock returns

Abstract

Using a panel of indices for five developed market and five emerging markets for the period from 31 December 2019 to 19 June 2020, the relationship between stock market liquidity and COVID-19 pandemic is examined. The study is the first to interrogate nexus using three measures of liquidity, the percentage spread, market depth and Amihud’s (2002) ILLIQ measure. The pandemic is a global health condition with financial market implications, the results indicate that, stock market liquidity improved as we found a negative and significant relationship between illiquidity and COVID-19 across all the liquidity measures in all markets. However, improvements in stock market liquidity were more prevalent in developed markets relative to emerging markets. The results show that volatility negatively affected liquidity when illiquidity was measured by spread. Future research should focus on the impact of quantitative easing on stock markets liquidity during market turmoil.

JEL Codes - G120; G150; G010

References

Acemoglu, D., Carvalho, V. M., Ozdaglar, A., and Tahbaz-Salehi, A., 2012. The network origins of aggregate fluctuations. Econometrica, 80(5), 1977-2016. http://dx.doi.org/10.3982/ECTA9623

Acemoglu, D., Ozdaglar, A., and Tahbaz-Salehi, A., 2017. Microeconomic origins of macroeconomic tail risks. The American Economic Review, 107(1), 54-108. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.20151086

Ahn, H. J., Bae, K. H., and Chan, K., 2001. Limit orders, depth, and volatility: Evidence from the stock exchange of Hong Kong. The Journal of Finance, 56(2), 767-788. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00345

Al-Awadhi, A. M., Alsaifi, K., Al-Awadhi, A., and Alhammadi, S., 2020. Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27, 100326. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100326

Amihud, Y., 2002. Illiquidity and stock returns: Cross-section and time-series effects. Journal of Financial Markets, 5(1), 31-56. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1386-4181(01)00024-6

Amihud, Y., and Mendelson, H., 1986. Liquidity and stock returns. Financial Analysts Journal, 42(3), 43-48. http://dx.doi.org/10.2469/faj.v42.n3.43

Bai, J., Krishnamurthy, A., and Weymuller, C. H., 2018. Measuring liquidity mismatch in the banking sector. The Journal of Finance, 73(1), 51-93. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12591

Baig, A. S., Butt, H. A., Haroon, O., and Rizvi, S. A. R., 2021. Deaths, panic, lockdowns and US equity markets: The case of COVID-19 pandemic. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101701. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101701

Bekaert, G., and Harvey, C. R., 2017. Emerging equity markets in a globalizing world. SSRN, 2344817. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2344817. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2344817

Berkman, H., and Nguyen, N. H., 2010. Domestic liquidity and cross-listing in the United States. Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(6), 1139-1151. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.11.011

Bloom, N., 2009. The impact of uncertainty shocks. Econometrica, 77(3), 623-685. http://dx.doi.org/10.3982/ECTA6248

Brockman, P., and Chung, D. Y., 1999. Bid-ask spread components in an order-driven environment. Journal of Financial Research, 22(2), 227-246. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-6803.1999.tb00724.x

Brunnermeier, M. K., and Pedersen, L. H., 2009. Market liquidity and funding liquidity. Review of Financial Studies, 22(6), 2201-2238. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhn098

Capponi, F., Cont, R., and Sani, A., 2019. Trade duration, volatility and market impact. Volatility and Market. Volatility and Market. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3351736

Cecchetti, S. G., and Disyatat, P., 2010. Central bank tools and liquidity shortages: Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Cheng, J., Powell, T., Skidmore, D., and Wessel, D., 2020. What’s the Fed doing in response to the COVID-19 crisis? What more could it do? , from https://www.brookings.edu/research/fed-response-to-covid19/

Chiu, J., Chung, H., Ho, K. Y., and Wang, G. H., 2012. Funding liquidity and equity liquidity in the subprime crisis period: Evidence from the ETF market. Journal of Banking & Finance, 36(9), 2660-2671. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.06.003

Diamond, D. W., and Rajan, R. G., 2001. Liquidity risk, liquidity creation, and financial fragility: A theory of banking. Journal of Political Economy, 109(2), 287-327. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/319552

Ding, W., Levine, R., Lin, C., and Xie, W., 2020. Corporate immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic National Bureau of Economic Research, w27055.

Ederington, L. H., and Lee, J. H., 1996. The creation and resolution of market uncertainty: The impact of information releases on implied volatility. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 31(4), 513-539. http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2331358

Giroud, X., and Mueller, H. M., 2017. Firm leverage, consumer demand, and employment losses during the Great Recession. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 132(1), 271-316. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw035

Glosten, L. R., and Milgrom, P. R., 1985. Bid, ask and transaction prices in a specialist market with heterogeneously informed traders. Journal of Financial Economics, 14(1), 71-100. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(85)90044-3

Hasbrouck, J., 1988. Trades, quotes, inventories, and information. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(2), 229-252. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(88)90070-0

Ibikunle, G., and Rzayev, K., 2020. Volatility, dark trading and market quality: evidence from the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic-driven market volatility. SSRN. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3586410

International Monetary Fund, 2020a. COVID-19 Crisis Poses Threat to Financial Stability. from https://blogs.imf.org/2020/04/14/covid-19-crisis-poses-threat-to-financial-stability/

International Monetary Fund, 2020b. Policy Response to COVID-19. from https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/imf-and-covid19/Policy-Responses-to-COVID-19#S

Kahle, K. M., and Stulz, R. M., 2013. Access to capital, investment, and the financial crisis. Journal of Financial Economics, 110(2), 280-299. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.02.014

Kang, W., and Zhang, H., 2014. Measuring liquidity in emerging markets. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 27, 49-71. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2014.02.001

Long, J. B., and Plosser, C. I., 1983. Real business cycles. Journal of Political Economy, 91(1), 39-69. http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/261128

Lou, X., and Shu, T., 2017. Price impact or trading volume: Why is the Amihud (2002) measure priced? Review of Financial Studies, 30(12), 4481-4520. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhx072

Marozva, G., 2020. Stock Market Liquidity and Monetary Policy. International Journal of Economics & Business Administration, 8(2), 265-275. http://dx.doi.org/10.35808/ijeba/459

Marozva, G., and Makina, D., 2020. Liquidity risk and asset liability mismatches: Evidence from South Africa. Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 44(1), 73-112. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10800379.2020.12097357

Pastor, L., and Veronesi, P., 2012. Uncertainty about government policy and stock prices. The Journal of Finance, 67(4), 1219-1264. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2012.01746.x

Pinkowitz, L., Stulz, R. M., and Williamson, R., 2016. Do US firms hold more cash than foreign firms do? Review of Financial Studies, 29(2), 309-348. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhv064

Reinhart, C. M., and Rogoff, K. S., 2009. This time is different: Eight centuries of financial folly: Princeton University Press.

Stoll, H. R., 2000. Presidential address: Friction. The Journal of Finance, 55(4), 1479-1514. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00259

Tetlock, P. C., 2007. Giving Content to Investor Sentiment: The Role of Media in the Stock Market. The Journal of Finance, 62(3), 1139-1168. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2007.01232.x

World Health Organisation, 2020. New WHO estimates: Up to 190 000 people could die of COVID-19 in Africa if not controlled from https://www.afro.who.int/news/new-who-estimates-190-000-people-could-die-covid-19-africa-if-not-controlled

Zhang, D., Hu, M., and Ji, Q., 2020. Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19. Finance Research Letters, 36, 101528. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101528

Zhu, H., 2014. Do dark pools harm price discovery? The Review of Financial Studies, 27, 747-789.

Downloads

Published

2021-06-22

How to Cite

Marozva, G., & Magwedere, M. R. (2021). COVID-19 and Stock Market Liquidity: An Analysis of Emerging and Developed Markets. Scientific Annals of Economics and Business, 68(2), 129–144. https://doi.org/10.47743/saeb-2021-0010

Issue

Section

Articles

Similar Articles

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.