The Nexus between Illicit Financial Flows and Tax Revenue: New Evidence from Resource-Rich African Countries

Authors

  • Joshua Adeyemi Afolabi Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research (NISER), Ibadan, Oyo State
  • Abayomi Samuel Taiwo Tai Solarin University of Education, Ijagun, Ogun State
  • Sheu Nurudeen Adebayo Federal College of Education (Special), Oyo, Oyo State

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47743/saeb-2024-0019

Keywords:

tax revenue, illicit financial flows, sustainable development, fixed and random effect models, Africa.

Abstract

Resource-rich economies, especially those in Africa, are plagued with the resource curse and Dutch Disease syndromes, which undermine the quest for effectively mobilizing domestic resources toward sustainable and inclusive development. Empirical evidence on the role illicit financial flow (IFF) plays in this regard is relatively scarce. Thus, this study evaluates the volume of IFF and its effect on tax revenue in seven resource-rich African countries. Panel data, sourced for the 2009-2021 period, were analysed using the fixed effect and random effect models while the Instrumental Variable Generalised Method of Moment (IV-GMM), a dynamic estimator, was used for robustness check. Findings revealed that IFF has been on the rise and has detrimental effects on the tax revenue of the sampled countries’ national governments. This is inimical to sustainable development. Thus, the governments and policymakers in these countries must develop pragmatic policy and institutional approaches toward tackling the IFF menace.

Author Biographies

Joshua Adeyemi Afolabi, Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research (NISER), Ibadan, Oyo State

Innovation and Technology Policy Department

Abayomi Samuel Taiwo, Tai Solarin University of Education, Ijagun, Ogun State

Department of Economics

Sheu Nurudeen Adebayo, Federal College of Education (Special), Oyo, Oyo State

Department of Economics

References

Afolabi, J. A. (2022). Financial development, trade openness and economic growth in Nigeria. Indian Economic Review, 26(1), 237-254. http://dx.doi.org/10.22059/ier.2022.86982

Afolabi, J. A. (2023a). Trade misinvoicing and domestic resource mobilization in Nigeria. International Journal of Development Issues, 22(1), 91-106. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/IJDI-09-2022-0208

Afolabi, J. A. (2023b). Natural resource rent and environmental quality nexus in Sub-Saharan Africa: Assessing the role of regulatory quality. Resources Policy, 82(103488), 1-11. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103488

Afolabi, J. A. (2023c). Place a bar on government size to bar growth reversal: Fresh evidence from BARS curve hypothesis in Sub-Saharan Africa. Tydskrif vir Studies in Ekonomie en Ekonometrie, 47(4), 303-320. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03796205.2023.2220079

Afolabi, J. A. (2024). Does Illicit Financial Flows Crowd Out Domestic Investment? Evidence from Sub-Saharan African Economic Regions. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 29(2), 1417-1431. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2740

Afolabi, J. A., & Oji, C. E. (2021). Nigeria-China bilateral relations: A skewed or balance relation? , 7(2), 129-145. http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/IJDIPE.2021.118854

Aminu, A., & Ogunjimi, J. A. (2019). A small macroeconometric model of the Nigerian economy. 6(2), 41-55. http://dx.doi.org/10.20448/journal.502.2019.62.41.55

Babatunde, M. A., & Afolabi, J. A. (2023). Growth Effect of Trade Misinvoicing in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Role of Governance. International Journal of Development Issues, 22(2), 241-254. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/IJDI-01-2023-0004

Baum, C. F., Schaffer, M. E., & Stillman, S. (2007). Enhanced routines for instrumental variables/GMM estimation and testing. The Stata Journal, 7(4), 465-506. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1536867X0800700402

Biedermann, Z. (2018). Africa’s dependency curse: The case of Botswana. Retrieved from https://roape.net/2018/09/27/africas-dependency-curse-the-case-of-botswana/

Bolaji, M., Adeoti, J. O., & Afolabi, J. A. (2021). The imperative of research and development in Nigeria: Lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic. International Journal of Technological Learning. Innovation and Development, 13(2), 168-189.

Boleti, E., Garas, A., Kyriakou, A., & Lapatinas, A. (2021). Economic Complexity and Environmental Performance: Evidence from a World Sample. Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 26(February), 251-270. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10666-021-09750-0

Brandt, K. (2020). Illicit financial flows and the Global South: A review of methods and evidence. UNU-WIDER Working Paper(169). http://dx.doi.org/10.35188/UNU-WIDER/2020/926-6

Cobham, A. C., & Janský, P. (2020). Estimating illicit financial flows: A critical guide to the data, methodologies and findings: Oxford University Press. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198854418.001.0001

Fetai, B. T., Mustafi, B. F., & Fetai, A. B. (2017). An Empirical Analysis of The Determinants of Economic Growth in The Western Balkans. 64(2), 245-254. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/saeb-2017-0016

Franks, D. M., Ngonze, C., Pakoun, L., & Hailu, D. (2020). Voices of artisanal and small-scale mining, visions of the future: Report from the International Conference on Artisanal and Small-scale Mining and Quarrying. The Extractive Industries and Society, 7(2), 505-511. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.exis.2020.01.011

Global Financial Integrity. (2021). Trade-Related Illicit Financial Flows in 134 Developing Countries: Global Financial Integrity.

Goosen, M. (2022). Top five oil and gas projects in Angola. Retrieved from https://energycapitalpower.com/top-five-oil-and-gas-projects-in-angola/

High Commission of the United Republic of, T. (2024). Natural Resources and Mining in Tanzania. Retrieved from https://www.ke.tzembassy.go.tz/tanzania/natural-resources-and-mining-in-tanzania

Igbatayo, S. A. (2019). Combating illicit financial flows from africa’s extractive industries and implications for good governance. Africa Development. Afrique et Developpement, 44(3), 55-86.

Im, K. S., Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115, 53-74. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(03)00092-7

International Monetary Fund. (2021). World revenue longitudinal data. Retrieved from https://data.imf.org/?sk=77413f1d-1525-450a-a23a-47aeed40fe78

Joshua, U., & Bekun, F. V. (2020). The path to achieving environmental sustainability in South Africa: The role of coal consumption, economic expansion, pollutant emission, and total natural resources rent. Environmental Science and Pollution Research International, 27, 9435-9443. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-07546-0

Kolala, C., & Dokowe, A. (2021). Economic potential of industrial minerals in Zambia - A review. Resources Policy, 72(101997), 101997. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.101997

Levin, A., Lin, C. F., & Chu, C. S. J. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: Asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108, 1-24. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(01)00098-7

Muchala, B. (2018). The right to development and illicit financial flows: Realizing the sustainable development goals and financing for development. Retrieved from https://www.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/Documents/Issues/Development/Session19/A_HRC_WG.2_19_CRP_3.docx

Muslim, H. S., Jawad, A. K. K., & Jihad, J. H. (2021). Illicit financial flows and their impact on domestic resource mobilization in the Arab region. 6(3), 1200-1210.

Nathaniel, S. P. (2021). Natural resources, urbanisation, economic growth and the ecological footprint in South Africa: The moderating role of human capital. Quaestiones Geographicae, 40(2), 63-76. http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/quageo-2021-0012

Nichols, E. (2018). The Resource Curse: A Look into the Implications of an Abundance of Natural Resources in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Scholarly Horizons: University of Minnesota. 5(2), 1-26. http://dx.doi.org/10.61366/2576-2176.1062

Ogunjimi, J. A. (2019). Impact of public debt on investment: Evidence from Nigeria. 2(2), 1-28.

Ogunjimi, J. A. (2020a). Exchange rate dynamics and sectoral output in nigeria: A symmetric and asymmetric approach. American Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities, 5(1), 178-193. http://dx.doi.org/10.20448/801.51.178.193

Ogunjimi, J. A. (2020b). Oil price asymmetry and sectoral output in Nigeria. International Journal of Economics. 7(1), 1-15.

Ogunjimi, J. A., & Amune, B. O. (2019). Impact of infrastructure on foreign direct investment in nigeria: An autoregressive distributed lag approach. 10(3), 1-8. http://dx.doi.org/10.7176/JESD/10-3-01

OPEC. (2021). Annual statistical bulletin. https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/publications/202.htm

Raifu, I. A., & Afolabi, J.A. (2023). The Effect of Financial Development on Unemployment in Emerging Market Countries. Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, 15(3), 354-384. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/09749101221116715

Sebudubudu, D., & Mooketsane, K. (2016). Why Botswana is a deviant case to the natural resource curse. The African Review: A Journal of African Politics. 43(2), 84-96.

Signé, L., Sow, M., & Madden, P. . (2020). Illicit financial flows in Africa: Drivers, destinations, and policy options. Retrieved from https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Illicit-financial-flows-in-Africa.pdf

The Growth Lab at Harvard University, H. D., V4. (2019). Growth Projections and Complexity Rankings. Retrieved from http://dx.doi.org/10.7910/DVN/XTAQMC

Thiao, A. (2021). The effect of illicit financial flows on government revenues in the West African Economic and Monetary Union countries. Cogent Social Sciences, 7(1), 1-24. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23311886.2021.1972558

UNECA. (2017). Impact of illicit financial flows on domestic resource mobilization: Optimizing revenues from the mineral sector in Africa. Retrieved from https://repository.uneca.org/handle/10855/23862

Uzoechina, B. I., Ibikunle, J. A., Olasehinde-Williams, G., & Bekun, F. V. (2023). Illicit financial outflows, informal sector size and domestic resource mobilization in selected African countries. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, 39(4), 1137-1159. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/JEAS-12-2020-0208

Wagner, A. (1980). Three Extracts on Public Finance. In M. R. A. Musgrave and A. T. Peacock, London (Ed.), Classics in the Theory of Public Finance London: Third.

World Bank. (2018). Reinvigorating growth in resource-rich Sub-Saharan Africa: World Bank.

World Bank. (2019). Environment and renewable natural resources in angola: opportunities to diversify the national economy, generate income for local communities, enhance environmental management capacity and build resilience to climate change: World Bank.

World Bank. (2023). Democratic Republic of Congo: Overview. https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/drc/overview

World Development Indicators. (2021). Nigeria - Database of the World Bank. https://data.worldbank.org/country/nigeria

Downloads

Published

2024-09-25

How to Cite

Afolabi, J. A., Taiwo, A. S. ., & Adebayo, S. N. . (2024). The Nexus between Illicit Financial Flows and Tax Revenue: New Evidence from Resource-Rich African Countries. Scientific Annals of Economics and Business, 71(3), 381–398. https://doi.org/10.47743/saeb-2024-0019

Issue

Section

Articles

Similar Articles

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.